Jordy’s MLB Bet Picks For August 30th

Week 4 Record: 6-5-1 or 50%. August Record 21-25-1 or 45%

 

 

Pick One: Over 8.5 (-120) in Tampa Bay Rays vs the Boston Red Sox

 

 

Both starting pitchers have an ERA over 4.50 which provides ideal pitching conditions for this over plus both teams can hit. In on-base percentage, slugging percentage and OPS both squads are above league average at bat and Boston is top seven in all of those categories plus batting average. For the Red Sox three of their last five have seen more than nine runs scored and Baltimore has had three of their last five where at least nine runs were scored. Take the over.

 

 

Miss: Rays win 6-1

 

 

Pick Two: Houston Astros -1.5 (+100) at the Seattle Mariners

 

 

The pitching duel is pretty close but the Astros have a big edge at bat. The Astros lead in batting average, 268 to .223, in on-base percentage, .339 to .299, in slugging percentage, .441 to .382, and in OPS, .780 to .681. The Astros are winning by multiple runs tonight.

 

 

Miss: Astros win 4-3

 

 

All stats and odds are from BetMGM https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/majors/2021.shtml https://www.espn.com/mlb/scoreboard