Week one (8-2-21 to 8-6-21) record: 6-8 or 43% hit rate
Pick One: Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-115) at the Cleveland Indians
Miss: Indians win 9-3
Neither pitcher has been particularly good as Reds starter Luis Castillo has the better ERA at 4.09 compared to Indians starter Sam Hentges’ 7.86. The big edge for the Indians and reason this bet hits is the Reds have a better batting average of .254 compared to Cleveland’s .233. In terms of runs the Reds also have a strong edge 563 to 468. Take Cincy.
Pick Two: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-125) at the Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee has a big pitching edge as they have Freddy Peralta on the mound who has a 2.21 ERA compared to Cubs starter Alec Mills’ 4.41. Both teams have a .227 batting average, but the Brewers have been better at turning their hits into runs as they lead that category 506 to 474. The Brewers are the better team in record and have those two previously mentioned advantages.
All stats and odds are from BetMGM https://www.espn.com